HODLer Bags Grow By 959,000 BTC

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin long-term holders have seen their supply register a sharp net increase over the past month.

Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Supply Is Rapidly Growing Right Now

As explained by CryptoQuant community manager Maartunn in a new post on X, BTC supply has recently been maturing into the long-term holder cohort. The “long-term holders” (LTHs) refer to the Bitcoin investors who have been holding onto their coins since more than 155 days ago.

The LTHs make up one of the two main divisions of the BTC sector done on the basis of holding time, with the other cohort being known as the “short-term holders” (STHs). The STHs generally represent the fickle-minded side of the market, while the LTHs contain the resolute hands.

There are many indicators for tracking the behaviors of these two groups, one such indicator being the LTH Net Position Change. This metric measures, as its name implies, the net changes in the combined supply held by the HODLers. When this metric’s value is positive, it means the LTH supply is rising. On the other hand, if it is below zero, it suggests a net number of coins are exiting this cohort’s holdings.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 30-day Bitcoin LTH Net Position Change over the history of the cryptocurrency:

The value of the metric appears to have seen a large positive spike in recent days
Source: @JA_Maartun on X

As displayed in the above graph, the 30-day Bitcoin LTH Net Position Change had plunged to sharp negative values as the BTC price had rallied to a new all-time high (ATH) in the first quarter of the year. This would suggest that even these investors, who don’t tend to sell easily, couldn’t escape the allure of profit-taking that came with the rally. This profit-taking from the diamond hands had gone on for a while, even when the coin had topped out.

In recent months, however, the metric has shown a turnaround, with an especially large spike coming during the past month. Over the last thirty days, the supply of the LTHs has grown by 959,000 BTC, which is quite a significant amount. Something not to be misinterpreted, though, is what this positive Net Position Change spike indicates. The LTHs haven’t ‘bought’ anything with this spike, all that has happened is that some coins, which were purchased 155 days ago, have now been held long enough to qualify for this group.

While HODLer accumulation has this 155-day delay attached to it, the same isn’t true for selling. Coins exit out of the LTH supply as soon as they break their dormancy through a transaction on the network, so selling can be considered to be reflected instantly on the indicator.

The diamond hands may or may not have participated in Bitcoin ‘buying’ recently, but the fact that coins are maturing on the network is still a positive sign in any case, as it suggests the investors are willing to HODL right now.